It shouldn’t come as a surprise anymore. This past Sunday night, The King’s Speech picked up its third big win in two weeks, taking home the Best Ensemble award from The Screen Actor’s Guild. It beat out The Fighter, The Kids Are All Right, The Social Network, and Black Swan. The King’s Speech has now captured all three of the big guild awards, the Producer’s Guild, Director’s Guild, and Screen Actor’s Guild. Most likely, it will also prevail at the Writer’s Guild for Best Original Screenplay, coming soon.

Many people thought The Fighter had the edge for this award, with its star-studded and awards friendly cast of Melissa Leo, Christian Bale, Mark Wahlberg, and Amy Adams. Leo and Bale took home trophies themselves from the Screen Actor’s Guild, for Best Supporting Actress and Supporting Actor respectively. However, if you look at the history of SAG, they often give the Ensemble award to a film that does not win any individual acting awards. In 2006, Dreamgirls’ swept the supporting categories thanks to Eddie Murphy and Jennifer Hudson. However, it was Little Miss Sunshine that went home with the ensemble award. In 2008, Slumdog Millionaire won the Best Ensemble award. It did not even have a single acting nomination. Same with Return of the King in 2003.

The King’s Speech certainly deserved the award. The film is largely performance based, and the award is a good way to recognize nominees Helena Bonham Carter and Geoffrey Rush, who are underdogs in their respective races, as well as Guy Pearce, who gives a solid performance in a smaller role in the film.

Meanwhile, Colin Firth and Natalie Portman solidified their bids for the Oscars by winning Best Actor and Best Actress. Many thought Annette Bening might have a chance, since she has won the SAG award twice, but in the end, Natalie Portman’s transformative performance in Black Swan was too big to ignore.

The BAFTAs are next, followed by the Oscars themselves. We are more than halfway through awards season. Even though things are becoming a bit more clear, the everlasting motto remains the same…when it comes to the Oscars, anything can happen.