Awards Frenzy’s Post-Game Analysis On Our Predictions
Welcome to the day after the Oscars! Hope everyone did well on their Oscar pools. As we mentioned in Live Blog, we are pleased to post a record of 19/24 in all categories last night. Our predictions record surpassed those of leading Oscar sites Awards Daily (18/24) and In Contention (18/24), and Entertainment Weekly (16/24). We are most proud of our predictions of Inception winning Best Cinematography (most people went with True Grit), Tom Hooper for Best Director (Fincher was the consensus), and The Social Network for Best Original Score (The King’s Speech was favored).
However, we are disappointed we missed five categories and vow to do better next year. In retrospect, we should have forseen Alice in Wonderland’s win in Art Direction. No Tim Burton film has ever lost that award, and the Academy usually goes with fantasy over science fiction (Inception). We also probably should not have gone out on a limb on Geoffrey Rush. Christian Bale won the Critics Choice, Golden Globe, and SAG awards. It is really, really rare for an actor to win those awards and then lose the Oscar. We were trying to be a little too cute, and it came back to bite us.
In the song and short film categories, we are not as disappointed. Those categories were very difficult to predict. Randy Newman’s song from Toy Story 3 was favored, but usually the favored song does not win. Guess this year was the exception.
Well, another year is in the books and it’s time for us to turn our attention to 2012. We are still furiously compiling data and it looks like our 2012 Predictions will be unveiled tomorrow night. Stay tuned for those, and thanks again for following us this Oscar season.
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