2012 Oscar Predictions: A First Look
*****For Awards Frenzy’s most recent predictions, please visit*****
http://www.awardsfrenzy.com/commentary/updated-2012-oscar-predictions/
—————————————————————————————————————————————————————–
After much deliberation, here are Awards Frenzy’s 2012 Oscar Predictions.
Last year, we had one of our most successful predictions years ever, correctly predicting 3 out of 10 Best Picture nominees a year in advance, including Best Picture runner-up “The Social Network.” We also were accurate in predicting Colin Firth to win Best Actor in “The King’s Speech” and Christian Bale to win Best Supporting Actor for “The Fighter.” Let’s see how we do this year.
2012 Best Picture Nominees:
The Ides of March:
George Clooney directs this political drama about a young staffer (Ryan Gosling) who is exposed to dirty politics on the campaign trail. With 2012 being an election year, this film may just hit the spot. The fact that Gosling (Blue Valentine), Clooney (Good Night and Good Luck), and Paul Giamatti (Sideways) are all involved gives it an added boost.
Young Adult:
Charlize Theron and Patrick Wilson star in this drama about a divorced writer who returns to the midwest and re-connects with an old flame and his new family. The film is directed by Jason Reitman, one of Hollywood’s hottest directors (Juno, Up in the Air). Reitman displays great insight as a director and his movies always feature interesting, complex characters and say something profound about life. It doesn’t seem like a stretch to say he will snag his third straight Best Picture nomination.
Like Crazy:
The winner of the Sundance Jury prize, this story centers around a pair of young lovers who are separated when the girl’s visa expires and she is banned from the country. Last year’s jury prize winner (Winter’s Bone) was nominated for Best Picture and this film, which is said to be intense and pure emotion, will likely ride critical support all the way to the top.
The Iron Lady:
Five words. Meryl Streep as Margaret Thatcher. If done right, this is a film that could potentially sweep next year’s Oscars. The biggest question is whether or not the film is completed in time. Jim Broadbent plays Denis Thatcher and the rest of the supporting cast is top notch. It doesn’t hurt that this film boasts hands down the best title of all the Best Picture contenders. It just rings of prestige.
The Descendants:
This one has a lot of promise. George Clooney stars in an Alexander Payne directed movie about a father who tries to re-connect with his adult daughters after their mother dies in an accident. Payne is overdue for an Oscar (see About Schmidt, Sideways) and Clooney has been sensational recently in challenging roles (Michael Clayton, Up in the Air). The film seems to bear some thematic similarity to “Young Adult,” and it will be interesting to see which one emerges as a stronger contender.
One Day:
Call this one a sleeper. Lone Scherfig (An Education) directs Anne Hathaway and Jim Sturgess in a touching love story about two college students who share a special night, and then revisit each other’s lives every day, once a year, for the next twenty years. Wow. If done poorly, it could be the next Lifetime movie of the week. If properly executed, nothing short of the next “Forrest Gump.” Scherfig’s powerful directing led Carey Mulligan to an Oscar nomination, and she could easily do the same for Hathaway.
A Dangerous Method:
David Cronenberg is such a wild-card. “A History of Violence” and “Eastern Promises” were highly regarded and embraced by critics, but fell short of Best Picture nominations. This time though, he trades in ultra violence for a searing character study of the relationship between Carl Jung and Sigmund Freud and the birth of psychoanalysis. The film starts Oscar favorites Viggo Mortensen and Keira Knightley. This could finally be the breakthrough year for Cronenberg.
Moneyball:
Brad Pitt stays as Billy Beane, the manager of the Oakland As who innovatively rebuilt the franchise on a shoe-string budget. The film is directed by Bennett Miller, previously nominated for “Capote.” While we’re not high on Pitt, the film’s premises seems interesting and original enough to stand out among other tried and true Oscar contenders. A strong supporting cast of Robin Wright and Phillip Seymour Hoffman doesn’t hurt either.
We Bought a Zoo:
Cameron Crowe is back, this time spearheading a film about a man who uproots his young family to a new town so they can re-open a struggling zoo. The film stars Matt Damon, Scarlett Johansson, and Thomas Haden Church. While we are probably least confident about this pick, we just can’t resist going with Crowe, who has now had many years to stew over the failed experiment called “Elizabethtown.” Since he’s working with two of Hollywood’s finest actors (Damon, Johansson), he should have a shot to really hit the jackpot.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo:
And last but not least, the most anticipated film of the year. Fresh off the phenomenal “The Social Network,” David Fincher is back in the director’s chair, guiding Rooney Mara and Daniel Craig through the big budget adaptation of Stieg Larsson’s first book of the bestselling Swedish mystery trilogy. The story, with myriad themes and complex characters, is half “Mystic River,” half “The Silence of the Lambs.” With a box office that will likely go through the roof, this film could go a very long way if the critics get behind it too.
Just Missing the Cut:
Steven Soderbergh’s “Contagion” features an all-star cast of Matt Damon, Gwyneth Paltrow, Kate Winslet, Jude Law, and Marion Cotillard, but it’s an action thriller about a deadly virus outbreak and we think it may be more of a box office smash than an Oscar movie. Same goes for Martin Scorsese’s “Hugo Cabret,” which is a sentimental movie about an orphan living inside a train station during 1930s Paris. Another children’s story from a renowned director is “War Horse,” about a young man who joins the war in order to be reunited with his horse. While Spielberg is beloved by the Academy, this film feels a little too light for the Academy.
Best Actor:
Johnny Depp may get some attention for playing a journalist re-examining his life while stationed out in the Caribbean in “Rum Diary,” as will Daniel Craig for assuming the role of crusading journalist Mikael Blomkvist in “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo.” Meanwhile, George Clooney will likely earn another nomination for a baity, dramatic role in Alexander Payne’s “The Descendents,” but we’re going with the vastly underrated Viggo Mortensen, terrific in everything he’s ever been in, to take home the Gold for playing Sigmund Freud in the historical drama “A Dangerous Method.”
Best Actress:
Along with Mortensen, Knightly will probably turns heads in “A Dangerous Method,” but we feel she’s still a year or two away from her Natalie Portman “Black Swan” role. Charlize Theron seems to have a great chance in “Young Adult,” but she’s won before, which may hurt her in a competitive field. One contender has got to be Michelle Williams as Marilyn Monroe in “My Week With Marilyn.” But the film, about Monroe’s relationship with Laurence Olivier on the set of a play, features two leading female performances, potentially diluting Williams’ chances. Ultimately, it should come down to Rooney Mara’s spunky, pierced and tattooed one of a kind Lisbeth Salander character from “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo” and Meryl’s Streep’s Margaret Thatcher from “Iron Lady.” Even though Streep has won twice before, the last was over twenty-five years ago so we think the Academy may want to hand the 16 time nominee one more trophy for her mantle.
Best Supporting Actor:
Phillip Seymour Hoffman is up to his old tricks as a team owner in the baseball drama “Moneyball” opposite Brad Pitt, while legendary Ben Kingsley will probably distinguish himself in Martin Scorsese’s magical “Hugo Cabret.” But we’re putting our money on Christopher Plummer, who plays the patriach Henrik Vanger in “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo.” Plummer, despite an illustrious career, has never won an Oscar and this would be a perfect lifetime achievement award for him.
Best Supporting Actress:
Robin Wright’s got two shots, with “Moneyball” and “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo,” with the latter probably her better bet. Remember Marisa Tomei, who pulled off one of the greatest upsets in Oscar history when she won for “My Cousin Vinny?” She could be back and among the favorites for her role in George Clooney’s political drama “The Ides of March.” We’re going to go, however, with Scarlett Johansson in Cameron Crowe’s “We Bought a Zoo.” Crowe seems to bring out the best in his actresses (see past nominees Renee Zellweger, “Jerry Maguire,” Kate Hudson, “Almost Famous,”) and Johansson is one of Hollywood’s rising stars who perfectly fits the profile of a recent Best Supporting Actress winner.
Summary of Predictions:
Best Picture: “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo”
Best Director: David Fincher, “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo”
Best Actor: Viggo Mortensen, “A Dangerous Method”
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Iron Lady”
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo”
Best Supporting Actress: Scarlett Johansson, “We Bought a Zoo”
You have a good Blog right here Mate. Adore your content articles really informative, Please hold up the great work.
Like Reagan it’s hard to remember what Margaret Thatcher was actually for. All she ever was was ‘against.’ Most female conservatives are like this. That’s why they leave such a negligible footprint aside from sourness once they pass on.
Check out This Link cash advance ‘ Emotional Freedom Approaches Certification (EFT-CC)
Hi! This is my first visit to your blοg! We aгe a group оf volunteers and starting a new proјect in a community in the
samе niche. Υour blog proviԁed us useful
information to work on. You have done a outstаnding jοb!
I believe this is one of the most significant info for me. And i’m happy reading your article. However wanna commentary on some normal issues, The site taste is great, the articles is really nice : D. Good process, cheers
i found this place dont know much about it tho http://www.tattootrainingguide.com/
hi!,I love your writing so so much! percentage we keep in touch extra approximately your article on AOL? I require a specialist in this area to unravel my problem. Maybe that’s you! Taking a look forward to look you.
http://www.freedom-won.net/
A large percentage of of the things you state is supprisingly precise and that makes me ponder why I hadn’t looked at this in this light previously. This piece really did turn the light on for me as far as this specific topic goes. Tempe Dentist, Tempe Dental Studio, 4427 South Rural Road Tempe, AZ 85282
Terrific work! This is the kind of information that should be shared around the net. Disgrace on the search engines for no longer positioning this put up upper! Come on over and talk over with my website . Thanks =)
Just to let you know your web site appears a little bit different on Safari on my netbook with Linux .
Heya i’m for the first time here. I found this board and I find It really helpful & it helped me out a lot. I am hoping to present one thing back and help others like you aided me.
Simply want to say your article is as surprising. The clarity to your publish is just cool and that i could think you’re knowledgeable in this subject. Well with your permission allow me to seize your RSS feed to stay up to date with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please carry on the enjoyable work.
I will right away seize your rss as I can’t find your e-mail subscription hyperlink or newsletter service. Do you’ve any? Please allow me know so that I could subscribe. Thanks.
I was recommended this blog by my cousin. I am now not positive whether or not this publish is written through him as no one else know such designated about my trouble. You are incredible! Thanks!
My brother recommended I might like this web site. He used to be entirely right. This put up actually made my day. You can not imagine just how a lot time I had spent for this information! Thank you!
You actually make it appear so easy together with your presentation but I to find this topic to be really one thing that I think I might by no means understand. It kind of feels too complicated and extremely huge for me. I am taking a look forward for your next put up, I?ll attempt to get the dangle of it!
I hope that Mr. viggo mortensen will be selected for best actor.
Hi there, I discovered your website via Google whilst looking for a similar subject, your web site got here up, it appears to be like great. I have bookmarked it in my google bookmarks.
Attractive component to content. I simply stumbled upon your website and in accession capital to assert that I get actually loved account your blog posts. Any way I will be subscribing in your augment or even I achievement you get entry to persistently fast.
Great post. I was checking constantly this weblog and I am impressed! Extremely helpful info specifically the last phase
I maintain such info much. I was seeking this particular info for a long time. Thanks and best of luck.
It?s actually a great and useful piece of info. I am glad that you just shared this useful information with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thank you for sharing.
Remarkable things here. I’m very glad to peer your post. Thank you a lot and I am having a look ahead to touch you. Will you kindly drop me a e-mail?
We’re a gaggle of volunteers and starting a brand new scheme in our community. Your website offered us with helpful info to paintings on. You have performed an impressive job and our whole community might be grateful to you.
Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all folks you really realize what you’re talking approximately! Bookmarked. Please additionally talk over with my website =). We could have a link exchange agreement between us
Its like you read my thoughts! You appear to understand a lot approximately this, like you wrote the book in it or something. I believe that you just could do with some percent to drive the message house a bit, but instead of that, that is magnificent blog. A great read. I will definitely be back.
I will right away grab your rss feed as I can’t to find your e-mail subscription hyperlink or e-newsletter service. Do you’ve any? Kindly let me recognize in order that I may just subscribe. Thanks.
Attractive part of content. I just stumbled upon your web site and in accession capital to claim that I acquire in fact enjoyed account your weblog posts. Any way I?ll be subscribing in your feeds and even I success you access consistently fast.