2010 Oscar Predictions: Previewing the Best Films of 2009
No matter what some people say, it’s never too early to start looking ahead. Last year, Oscar Frenzy correctly predicted two of the five Best Picture nominees a year in advance. Based on a variety of factors, we selected “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” and “The Reader.” We’re especially proud of “The Reader,” as that was a film that wasn’t on a lot of people’s radars. Also, in the acting categories, we accurately predicted Kate Winslet, although we thought she would be nominated for “Revolutionary Road (which she should have),” as opposed to “The Reader.”
So now we begin anew. 2008 was an excellent year in film, one of the best years in decades. It will be a hard act to follow. But led by several very accomplished directors, it should be extremely interesting. Let’s unveil our 2010 Oscar Predictions.
Best Picture
There are many films that immediately stand out here. First would be the yet “Untitled Nelson Mandela Project,” directed by Clint Eastwood and starring Morgan Freeman. Eastwood is indeed the best director working today, but he’s also more adept at darker, more personal stories like “Million Dollar Baby” and “Gran Torino” as opposed to historical epics like “Flags of Our Fathers.” Something tells us this Mandela story may be a bit underwhelming. Peter Jackson returns with the adaptation of the bestseller “The Lovely Bones,” about a little girl who is murdered and then watches the aftermath from above. Again, we’re not sure it’ll be that easy for Jackson to make the transition from fantasy to drama. On an added note, it’s extremely rare for a Best Picture winning director to have his next film also nominated for Best Picture. Look it up.
Martin Scorsese follows up “The Departed” with “Shutter Island,” a psychological thriller/drama based on a book from Dennis Lehane (Mystic River, Gone Baby Gone). We can’t wait to see this film, starring DiCaprio, Michelle Williams, and an all-star cast. But it doesn’t quite seem like an Oscar movie. Hilary Swank shoots for Oscar number three playing Amelia Earhart in “Amelia,” directed by Mira Nair. We just have a bad feeling about this one. Nair isn’t exactly a top-tier director and this just might be too big an undertaking for her. Ang Lee continues to amaze audiences with his incredible range. This time, he’s making a movie called “Taking Woodstock,” about, you guessed it, Woodstock. There should be little doubt he’ll pull it off, but it doesn’t feel like Oscar material either. More like a crowd-pleaser. “The Green Zone” is a war movie starring Matt Damon and directed by rising star Paul Greengrass. We are hotly anticipating this film, but war movies haven’t been popular in these difficult times. We don’t expect that to change anytime soon.
Finally, there is James Cameron’s long, long awaited “Avatar.” Considering it will have been almost 12 years since his blockbuster “Titanic,” one hopes it will be great. But the early word is that it’s more of a visual treat than a moving drama. Which brings us to the five films we think WILL be nominated for Best Picture.
Biutiful
Brothers
Nine
Public Enemies
The Tree of Life
BIUTIFUL – This is Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu’s follow-up to 2006 Best Picture nominee “Babel.” It stars Javier Bardem and is about a criminal who is confronted by a childhood friend, who also happens to be a police officer. Inarritu’s talent was apparent in “Babel” and his insight into the human condition should only improve with each film.
BROTHERS – Directed by Jim Sheridan (In America, In the Name of the Father), this film is about a man who comforts the wife of his brother who leaves for war in Afghanistan. Yes, on the surface, it reminds us of Pearl Harbor, which is not good. But the film stars Jake Gyllenhaal, Natalie Portman, and Tobey McGuire, three of the finest young talents in Hollywood. Love stories have been somewhat disfavored with the Academy recently, but this could be an exception.
NINE – Just take one look at this cast and tell us if you can believe it. Daniel Day-Lewis, Nicole Kidman, Sophia Loren, Judi Dench, Marion Cotillard, Penelope Cruz. Wow! It’s a musical directed by Rob Marshall and we all know how well his last one did (Chicago). Now that Marshall has got Memoirs of a Geisha out of his system, he should be back to having fun and entertaining audiences with his exquisite showmanship. This film could easily lead the nominations.
PUBLIC ENEMIES Michael Mann directs Johnny Depp as legendary gangster John Dillinger and Christian Bale plays the federal agent obsessed with tracking him down. Sounds like a winner to us. Nobody does crime better than Michael Mann, who helmed the incredibly underrated 90s crime epic “Heat” starring Al Pacino and Robert De Niro. This one could rival it. With a summer release, a solid box office will only boost its Oscar chances.
THE TREE OF LIFE – Nobody really knows what this is about and that should come as little surprise since it’s directed by Terence Malick. We do know that it stars Best Actor winner Sean Penn and Brad Pitt and that intrigues us. As does the fact that it’s supposed to be about innocence lost, which although vague, seems promising in an odd sort of way. We’re thinking this film will be more “The Thin Red Line” than “The New World.”
And now, the other categories…
Best Director
It will probably be a director from one of the Best Picture nominated films. Michael Mann is long overdue, as is Jim Sheridan. Rob Marshall didn’t win for Chicago, so he might have a shot. In the end, it should come down to Mann and Marshall.
Best Actor
Many people will favor Morgan Freeman from Eastwood’s Mandela project and he’s certainly capable of giving a performance similar to Ben Kingsley in “Gandhi.” Javier Bardem is proving to be one sensational actor and he’s sure to shine in “Biutiful,” but he also just won Supporting Actor two years ago. DiCaprio, of course, is overdue, but Shutter Island may not be the right vehicle. “Theodore Roosevelt” is right around the corner. And then of course, there is the amazing Johnny Depp, with the perfect role as John Dillinger. This should be an exciting two horse race between Freeman and Depp.
Best Actress
As much as we adore Hilary Swank, three awards in ten years is just a little much. Saoirse Ronan, who wowed audiences as little Briony in “Atonement” has a very meaty role in “The Lovely Bones,” but the Academy usually rewards older actresses. Natalie Portman may get a nomination for “Brothers,” but given her vast talent, she may have to wait a little longer for a more perfect part. That means the race may boil down to Michelle Pfieffer, who plays a older woman seducing a young guy in Stephen Frears’ period romance “Cheri” and Audrey Tatou who portrays a famous French designer in “Coco avant Chanel.”
Best Supporting Actor
Jonathan Groff is said to be amazing in “Taking Woodstock,” but he may lack the clout to take home the prize on his first try. Best Actor nominee Frank Langella is back to work in the detective drama “All Good Things” and the well respected Paul Giamatti plays an aristocrat in the Leo Tolstoy drama “The Last Station.” Finally, underrated actor Mark Ruffalo should get notice for playing Leo’s partner in the creepy “Shutter Island.”
Best Supporting Actress
Mo’Nique attracted lavish praise at Sundance for her performance in “Precious,” but it’s a little hard to imagine her as an Academy Award winner. That being said, a couple of ladies from “Shutter Island,” Emily Mortimer and Michelle Williams could duke it out for the statuette.
And the winners are:
Best Picture: Public Enemies
Best Director: Michael Mann, Public Enemies
Best Actor: Johnny Depp, Public Enemies
Best Actress: Audrey Tatou, Coco avant Chanel
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti, The Last Station
Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams, Shutter Island
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Ithink the Jake Gyllenhaal should win an acting award for Prince of Persia. Seriously you guys. Come on, the guy did the best he can ever do. The full transformation from a nerdy boy to a disgustingly hot sexy sex icon.
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WRONG!!!!!!
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My oscar predictions
Leading Actor : Morgan Freeman in Invictus
Supporting Actor : Christoph Waltz in Inglorious Basterds
Leading Actress : Meryl Streep in Julia & Julia
Supporting Actress : Penelope Cruz in Nine
Animated Feature : Up
Art Direction : Sherlock Holmes
Cinematography : The Hurt Locker
Costume Design : Coco before Chanel
Directing : The Hurt Locker
Documentary Feature : Food Inc.
Documentary Short : China’s Unnatural Disaster : The Tears of Sichuan Province
Film Editing : The Hurt Locker
Foreign Language Film : The Milk of Sorrow
Makeup : Star Trek
Original Score : The Hurt Locker
Original Song : Down in New Orleans from The Princess and the Frog
Short Film Animated : A Matter of Loaf and Death
Short Film Live Action : The New Tenants
Sound Editing : The Hurt Locker
Sound Mixing : The Hurt Locker
Visual Effects : Avatar
Screenplay Adapated : District 9
Screenplay Original : The Hurt Locker
Best Picture : The Hurt Locker
——————————–
- Arunabh Das
A year ago you wrote “No matter what some people say, it’s never too early to start looking ahead.”
A year later it should be clear that no matter what you wrote a year ago, 12 months is WAY too early to start looking ahead.
NOT a single essential, important or even genuinely fresh offering in the
entire batch. Hollywood’s Boomer deadwood, and decades of sellout
to, among others, the most awesomely genocidal regime in history across the
Pacific have clearly taken a toll. Point —June marks the 60th anniversary of the Korean War -an epic conflict which is STILL unfolding and a place where millions are suffering and dying. Soldout and sucking-up, Hollywood hasn’t made a single quality film about Korea —-in decades -and even before the pickings as balking, ambiguous and generally forgettable.
NOT LOOKIN’ GOOD
NOT LOOKIN’ GOOD
Michael Stuhlbarg (’A Serious Man’) should have been given at least a slim chance for Best Actor in a Leading Role. However, the competition in this category was extremely fierce this year.
Michael Stuhlbarg (’A Serious Man’) should have been given at least a slim chance for Best Actor in a Leading Role. However, the competition in this category was extremely fierce this year.actor.hestepheson marques
manaus-am oscar! $$$ 1.000.00 brasil (adeus oscar adeus)
—”And the winner for ‘biggest sellouts to an awesomely genocidal and utterly unrepentant overseas regime’ —IS HOLLYWOOD!”
—-If only —-IF ONLY!
All these commentators are out of line—-for Best Actress. It IS the year of Sandra Bullock. She’s winning for “The Blind Side” which might not take Best Picture, but a film would often do that~
The Academy should have swapped Vera Farmiga for Melanie Laurent (‘Inglourious Basterds’). Anna Kendrick’s nod is the only Best Supporting Actress nod necessary for ‘Up In The Air’. Why wasn’t she considered for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Kendrick’s character towered over Farmiga’s. Shoshanna Dreyfus is much more memorable than…I don’t even know Farmiga’s character’s name.
Michael Stuhlbarg (‘A Serious Man’) should have been given at least a slim chance for Best Actor in a Leading Role. However, the competition in this category was extremely fierce this year.
‘The Blind Side’ and ‘District 9′ could have been left of the list of the unnecessary TEN nominees for Best Picture. ‘The Blind Side’ is a feel-good movie with a heart-warming theme, but Sandra Bullock’s performance is mostly responsible for making that movie as successful as it has been. And ‘District 9′? Come on now, are you serious?
Though it might have been a long shot, I would have liked to have seen Michael Stuhlbarg (‘A Serious Man’) in the running for Best Actor.
Only one Best Supporting Actress nod for ‘Up In The Air’ would have been necessary, and that would be Anna Kendrick’s. Her performance (see next paragraph) towered over Vera Farmiga’s, whose presence wasn’t really felt until toward the end of the movie (at least in my opinion.) Farmiga should have been swapped with Melanie Laurent (‘Inglourious Basterds’).
Now that I think about it, why wasn’t Anna Kendrick considered for Best Actress in a Leading Role?
And speaking of all the Acting Categories, I think the Academy should add a slot or two in each of them, since the Best Picture category was needlessly flooded with TEN nominees this year.
I mean, ‘The Blind Side’ for Best Picture? It’s a feel-good movie with a heart-warming theme, but it’s mostly Sandra Bullock’s performance that makes that movie what it is. And ‘District 9′? Come on now, are you serious?
miley cyrus***************** deve ganar todo
*******porque es la mejor******
+++++++++++the best+++++
For me, these better, memorable and extraordinarily unique films ought to win:
A Serious Man %u2013 Ethan Coen and Joel Coen
The Hurt Locker %u2013 Kathryn Bigelow
An Education %u2013 Lone Sherfig
Invictus %u2013 Clint Eastwood
(500) Days Of Summer
Inglourious Basterds %u2013 Quentin Tarantino
Avatar %u2013 James Cameron
District 9 – Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell.
The Road – John Hillcoat
Julie and Julia – Nora Ephron.
Note: I really found “Up In The Air” to be a silly, rather than a funny comedy… it became boring when I saw it the second time. Saw all of the above twice or thrice, discovering something new after seeing them, second time around!
For what? Most commercial film?
These are the Oscars.
Seriously. New Moon? Which category???
Sorry, Peggy, but New Moon has no business dealing with Oscar. That is, with the exception of its fine music (most notably for Thom Yorke and Death Cab For Cutie’s contributions for an amazing soundtrack.)
Anyway, here are my final predictions. I realize that some of these are very unlikely, but sometimes there are a few surprises that come along.
Picture
-Avatar
-District 9
-An Education
-The Hurt Locker
-Inglourious Basterds
-The Messenger
-Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire”
-Star Trek
-Up
-Up in the Air
Director
-Kathryn Bigelow “The Hurt Locker”
-James Cameron “Avatar”
-Lee Daniels “Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire”
-Jason Rietman “Up in the Air”
-Quentin Tarantino “Inglourious Basterds”
Actor in a Leading Role
-Jeff Bridges “Crazy Heart”
-George Clooney “Up in the Air”
-Colin Firth “A Single Man”
-Morgan Freeman “Invictus”
-Jeremy Renner “The Hurt Locker”
Actress in a Leading Role
-Sandra Bullock “The Blind Side”
-Helen Mirren “The Last Station”
-Carey Mulligan “An Education”
-Gabourey Sidbe “Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire”
-Meryl Streep “Julie and Julia”
Actor in a Supporting Role
-Woody Harrelson “The Messenger”
-Anthony Mackie “The Hurt Locker”
-Christian McKay “Me and Orson Wells”
-Christopher Plummer “The Last Station”
-Christoph Waltz “Inglourious Basterds”
Actress in a Supporting Role
-Vera Farmiga “Up in the Air”
-Anna Kendrick “Up in the Air
-Mo’nique “Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire”
-Julianne Moore “A Single Man”
-Samantha Morton “The Messenger”
Writing (Original)
-(500) Days of Summer
-The Hangover
-The Hurt Locker
-Inglourious Basterds
-Up
Writing (Adapted)
-District 9
-An Education
-Fantastic Mr. Fox
-Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire
-Up in the Air
Animated Feature Film
-Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs
-Coraline
-Fantastic Mr. Fox
-The Princess and the Frog
-Up
Foreign Language Film
-Adjani
-Kelin
-A Prophet
-Samson and Delilah
-The White Ribbon
Documentary Feature Film
-Burma VJ
-The Cove
-Every Little Step
-Food Inc.
-Under Our Skin
Film Editing
-Avatar
-District 9
-The Hurt Locker
-Inglourious Basterds
-Up in the Air
Cinematography
-Avatar
-The Hurt Locker
-Inglourious Basterds
-Where the Wild Things Are
-The White Ribbon
Art Direction
-Avatar
-Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
-Inglourious Basterds
-Where the Wild Things Are
-The Young Victoria
Costume Design
-Bright Star
-Inglourious Basterds
-Sherlock Holmes
-Where the Wild Things Are
-The Young Victoria
Visual Effects
-Avatar
-District 9
-Star Trek
Make Up
-District 9
-The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
-Star Trek
Original Score
-Avatar
-Brothers
-Coco Before Chanel
-The Informant!
-Up
Original Song
-”All is Love” Where the Wild Things Are
-”Down in New Orleans” The Princess and the Frog
-”Help Yourself” Up in the Air
-”The Weary Kind” Crazy Heart
-”You’ve Got Me Wrapped Around Your Little Finger” An Education
Sound Mixing
-Avatar
-District 9
-The Hurt Locker
-Star Trek
-Up
Sound Editing
-Avatar
-District 9
-The Hurt Locker
-Star Trek
-Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
How about New Moon of the Twilight series? I would vote for it.
avatar for best picture. clooney for best actor. jack nicholson for supporting actor. the girl from precious for best actress. the girl from up in the air for supporting actress. up for animated picture.
James Cameron should deserve Oscars for Avatar!
Best film:
Avatar
Sherlock holmes
Inglorious basterds
Invictus
up
BD:
tarentino-inglorious basterds
Clint Eastwood – Invictus
Guy Ritchie – Sherlock Holmes
Michael Mann – Public Enemies
BALR:
Robert Downey, Jr.- Sherlock Holmes
Michael Stuhlsbarg – A Serious Man
Morgan Freeman – Invictus
Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
BA’s LR:
Meryl Streep – Julie and Julia
Maya Rudolph for Away We Go
Hillary Swank for Amelia
Sandra Bullock – The blind side
Best Picture – Up in the Air
Best Director – James Cameron
Best Actor – Morgan Freeman
Best Actress – Hillary Swank
(” = me, * = oscars)
BEST FILM:
“Up in the Air”
Avatar
Precious
The Lovely Bones
Julie & Julia
*Inglorious Bastards*
Public Enemies
Nine
Crazy Heart
Invictus
Actor in a Lead Role:
*Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart*
“George Clooney, Up in the Air”
Johnny Depp, Public Enemies
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Daniel-Day Lewis, Nine
Actress In a Leading Role:
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Hilary Swank, Ameila
B. Picture:
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Public Enemies
The Road
SHUTTER ISLAND
Director:
Peter Jackson, The Lovely Bones
ROB MARSHALL, Nine
Michael Mann, Public Enemies
Martin Scorsese, Shutter Island
Clint Eastwood, Playing the Enemy
Actor:
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
JOHNNY DEPP, Public Enemies
Leonardo DiCaprio, Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman, Playing the Enemy
Viggo Mortensen, The Road
Actress:
Penelope Cruz, Broken Embraces
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Michelle Pfeiffer, Cheri”
MERYL STREEP
Hilary Swank, Amelia
Sup. Actor:
BILLY CRUDUP, Public Enemies*
Matt Damon, Playing the Enemy
Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Road
Sean Penn, The Tree of Life
“Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones”
Sup. Actress:
PENELOPE CRUZ, Nine
Sophia Loren, Nine
Mo’Nique, Precious
Charlize Theron, The Road
Rachel Wiesz, The Lovely Bones
you don’t think meryl streep will get nominated!??????? i hope she does
I will tell you there is NO WAY that Invictus wins Best Picture. In fact, I would be very surprised if it gets nominated for more then Best Actor. The two movies that seem to be fighting over the big prize is Up in the Air and Inglourious Basterds. I think Hurt Locker has a chance but with it being a true independant I think it will only be nominated (with it’s best shot being in the Best Screenplay category). Here are my picks:
Best Picture: Up in the Air
Best Actor: George Clooney (Up in the Air)
Best Actress: Merryl Streep (Julie and Julia)
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
Best Supporting Actress: Monique’ (Precious)
Best Director: Quinton Tarentino (Inglourious)
So I just watched Up in the Air after I posted my last post. It is a lock to win Best Adapted Screenplay…and Id give it a 75 percent chance of winning Best Picture. Id also say its a dead tie with Bigelow and Reitman for Best Director.
All has been said.
Everybody gave their opinions and predictions. All nominated films from best director to leading actors down to the minor awards were all potential winners. But in a leading actress category its a different story. I think no body or no actress is more deserving to win the oscar this year but Michelle Pfeiffer. Why not! My gosh her performance in Cheri is subdued and controlled. Quiet yet so powerful! No over make up only pure emotions! Pfeiffer is funny and heartbreaking at the same time. Pls.its long overdue! Lets give our respect to one of the greatest actress of all time.
BEST PICTURE
The Hurt Locker
Up
Inglourious Basterds
Avatar
Invictus
An Education
A Single Man
Nine
Up in the Air
Precious
That will almost positively be the best picture lineup. It is sad that District 9 will get shafted so bad. It should get Picture and Director nominations for sure. District 9 does have a chance though. I wouldn’t count on Up to be in the best pic category. Pixar can choose to enter it into the Best Animated Picture. If it does it will win. So who knows what they will decide…go for the win? or go for the best pic nom?
My predictions for winners…
BEST PICTURE – Inglourious Basterds (This is…up in the air…between ‘up in the air and the hurt locker…but I think they will go with the basterds for its all around appeal.)
BEST ACTOR – ??George Clooney?? (No one was awesome this year in this category)
BEST ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan
SUPPORTING ACTOR – Christopher Waltz
SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Monique
DIRECTOR – Kathryn Bigelow
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – Inglourious Basterds
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – An Education
BEST SCORE – Inglourious Basterds
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY – Avatar
Best Picture – Avatar (unfortunately)
Best Actor – Morgan Freeman (though I’d like Firth, suprisingly)
Best Actress- Meryl Streep
Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz
Best Supporting Actress – Weisz
plz we want johnny depp take the oscar 2010 for best actor
None of your predictions for winners will even be nominated.
avatar,inglourious basterds for best picture
freeman,clooney best actor
cameron,quentin,eastwood best director
tarantino will surely get best screenplay
christoph waltz best supporting actor
the blind side! =D
I disagree. I recently watched inglorious basterds and was blown away at the acting, editing and just tone of the movie. Probably the directors best work. If anything, I think Christoph Waltz should win supporting actor award.
And Up! deserves a place in the best film award.
winner predictions:
Best Picture: Up in the Air
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan-An Education
Best Actor: Colin Firth-A Single Man
Best Sup. Actress: Mo’Nique-Precious
Best Sup. Actor: Stanley Tucci-The L.B.
I think u guys r completely misregarding Avatar!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!